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Samples of the Positive Cash Flow Share Course...

Below is a selection of samples from this amazing Positive Cash Flow Share Course. There are over 45 such strategies in the course plus you get 12 months of support from the Author.

 

If you have any interest in gaining a deeper understanding of stock market strategies then I totally recommend this course.

 

Click here to return to the Positive Cash Flow Share Course

 

Regards

Richard Baartz


Share Course Samples

 

1. THE 19-SECOND RULE

2. HOW TO BUY SHARES AT 10% BELOW MARKET PRICE

3. RECEIVING BONUS DIVIDENDS

4. SELF FUNDING INSTALMENT WARRANTS

5. SHARE BUYBACKS

 

 

THE 19-SECOND RULE

When looking at a stock and its dividends, there is a rule I have come up with to determine if the stock should be bought for its dividend yield. For this you need two pieces of information, the stock price, and the latest dividend payment amount. This can be an amount recently paid, or yet to be paid. Take the dividend amount, double it, double it again, and then multiply by ten. If the stock price is below or equal to this number, that stock passes the test.

Example: NAB dividend 75c.
Double to $ 1.50
Double again to $ 3.00
Multiply by 10 = $ 30.00
Compare with stock price of $ 31.20 = FAIL

This is a quick rule and not the be-all and end-all of share selection. If you have the actual dividend yield calculated for you, simply check if it is above 5%. If you have a calculator, multiply the dividend by 2, and divide by the stock price, then multiply by 100 to give the dividend yield.

Divide by stock price of $ 27.90 = 0.0516
Multiply by 100 = 5.16%
Is this higher than 5%? = PASS

When investing for the longer term, where possible, use the two latest dividends rather than doubling the most recent one, as this will be more accurate.

Example: TLS dividend 13c + 17c = 30c
Divide by stock price of $ 5.20 = 0.0577
Multiply by 100 = 5.77%
Is this higher than 5%? = PASS
 

In trades where you will only be holding the stock for it's dividend and then selling, doubling that dividend is the best method because future and past dividends are irrelevant. While 5% may not seem like a lot, this does not include franking credits that improve the after tax return.

 

A fully franked dividend yielding 5% equates to a 7.14% yield when franking credits are taken into account, and higher still if the marginal tax rate of the investor is below 30%.

Applying the 19-second rule:

HOW TO BUY SHARES AT 10% BELOW MARKET PRICE
 

In the first example above we were given a value of $ 30.00 for NAB. At this price, NAB will meet the 19-second rule. This means, if we want to consider buying NAB as a positively geared investment, it must be at a price of $ 30.00 or lower.

 

You might ask: "but what if it never gets that low?" I am about to show you how you can make money from NAB whether it falls to $ 30.00 or not.

 

The first step is to 'sign a contract' that we will buy NAB at $ 30.00 if it gets there. For this, we will be paid on average 40c a share every month (price estimated and irregular) until NAB hits $ 30.00, or until NAB rises far above $ 30.00.

 

We do this buy 'writing' a put option. We make an agreement with another party, that we will buy their NAB shares off them for $ 30.00 if NAB falls below this price, and IF they decide to exercise their option. In practice they will not exercise their option unless there is a financial incentive for doing so.

 

This means that we usually will not have to buy the shares until the expiry date. The party that buys this contract from us, does so because they wish to profit from NAB falling in price, should it happen. They may be speculating, or hedging their shares against the risk of a sharp fall.

 

Lets pretend it is January 3rd, and NAB is trading at $ 31.50. We have used the 19-second rule, and wish to buy 10,000 NAB at $ 30.00. We are prepared to wait as long as is necessary. We determine that we need to write a January $ 30.00 put, and manage to sell 10 contracts for 19c each. We receive 19 x 10 x 1000 = $ 1,900 in premiums. January expiry day comes and goes, just as NAB hits $ 30.50.

 

Having kept all of the $ 1,900, we write some February contracts for 34c. We receive 34 x 10 x 1000 = $ 3,400 in premiums. Expiry day comes around, and NAB is trading at $ 30.12. The puts expire worthless. Having kept all of the $ 3,400, we write some March contracts for 62c. We receive 62 x 10 x 1000 = $ 6,200 in premiums. Expiry day comes around, and NAB is trading at $ 29.88.

 

The put buyer exercises his options, and we buy 10,000 NAB @ $ 30.00.

Our purchase looks as follows:

Jan - received $ 1,900 - balance = $ 1,900
Feb - received $ 3,400 - balance = $ 5,300
Mar - received $ 6,200 - balance = $ 11,500
Mar - bought 10,000 NAB @ $ 30.00 = ($ 300,000) - Balance = ($ 288,500)

Our average buy price for NAB is $ 288,500 / 10,000 = $ 28.85.

Note that this is even less than the price we were prepared to pay, and is still less than the current market value of $ 29.88.

We have in effect, bought NAB at a great discount:

Original price - $ 31.50
Effective buy price - $ 28.85
Discount = 8.4%

Furthermore, we have made a profit because NAB is trading above our effective buy price:

Current price - $ 29.88
Effective buy price - $ 28.85

Profit = 103c / share x 10,000 shares = $ 10,300 or 3.6% gain
 

Had we bought at $ 31.50, we would now be down 8.4%. Instead, we are in profit by 3.6%. Our total performance is therefore improved by 8.4% + 3.6% = 12%. We have in effect bought NAB at 12% below market price. If we choose to sell at $ 29.88 we also take a capital loss on paper, as we paid $ 30.00 and sold for $ 29.88. Had it taken longer to reach $ 30.00, we would have been able to write puts for later months, which would have reduced our effective buy price even lower.

 

You can think of this strategy as a 'lay-by' for shares, where you also get to buy the item on special at any time during the lay-by period. We did not own the shares for 3 months of the year, so it is possible we missed out on a dividend. In effect we missed out on half of a dividend, because they are paid every 6 months.

 

It was not necessary for NAB to fall. Had it drifted sideways for 6 months, a similar result would have been obtained. Whether or not NAB reaches $ 30.00 is irrelevant because we have already banked the income from the put options. This strategy should be used when the investor wishes to purchase actual shares. You can use the strategy with no intention to actually buy shares, but be warned if you are exercised you must buy the shares and sell them again, which may cost big money in brokerage.

 

It is not a risk-free strategy, as a large fall in the stock to say $ 30.00 would still leave the investor in a position where they must pay $ 30.00 per share. It is however less risky than buying the shares outright as a normal investor would do, because our risk starts at the $ 30.00 level, not the $ 31.50 level, and as I have shown it is a more economical option.

Note: Writing options requires a margin to be met.

The example is for demonstration purposes only and is not intended as a recommendation or advice.

 

RECEIVING BONUS DIVIDENDS

 

With a rental property, assuming no vacancies and a fortnightly rent income, there is a very consistent, even, predictable flow of income. Buyers of property will not be concerned with when the rent is due next, because at worst they will miss out on 13 days income, which is a fairly small amount in comparison to the purchase cost of the property.

With shares however, income is distributed much less frequently, less evenly, and less predictably. While this may sound like a negative, once you are aware of this inefficiency, you can exploit it. When an investor buys a share, the difference in effective purchase cost is influenced to a much greater degree when dividends are taken into account.

Example:

Investor A buys a .00 share which paid out a 50c dividend the day before he bought.
Investor B buys a .00 share that pays out a 50c dividend the day he bought.

Investor A has to wait another 6 months before he receives any income from his investment, and again in a further 6 months. This means that over a 365-day period, he receives 2 dividend payments. The average investor would expect this, and would not consider that there is a better option.

Investor B gets a return on his investment after only one day, plus he receives another payment in 6 months time, and again in a further 6 months. This means that over a 366 day period, he receives not two but three dividend payments. His effective purchase price is .29 (.00 less 50c dividend and 21c franking credit)

Investor A invests for 365 days and receives two dividends, or $1.00 per share. His net dividend yield is 100/3000 = 3.33%

Investor B invests for 366 days and receives three dividends, or $1.50 per share. His net dividend yield is 150/3000 = 5%

Investor B invests for 0.27% longer (366 days Vs 365), but his dividend yield is a 50% increase on that of Investor A (5% Vs 3.33%).

Had both investors bought instalment warrants instead of shares, they may have found that the returns were 10% for Investor A and 15% for Investor B, quite possibly the difference between a positive geared scenario and a negative geared one.

To put this in rental property terms, Investor A bought a house expecting and receiving the normal fortnightly rent, while Investor B bought a house which included six months rent in arrears. Naturally this would never happen with property, but it happens frequently with shares. The timing of a share purchase can make a big difference to the return produced and the effective purchase price. Be sure to allow for dividends when you consider investing in equities.

Worked Example:

This strategy involves buying stock or instalment warrants shortly before a dividend is paid, and holding it for just over 12 months. Over this period three dividends will be received, and any capital gains after 12 months will be taxable at half the normal rate. This means that a dividend with a yield of 5% can be purchased on margin and made to produce 7.5%, in effect creating a positively geared investment.

 

CBA pays a 65c dividend on the 10th of May. On the 9th of May, CBA is trading at $ 26.50. David buys 10,000 CBA shares on margin, costing him $ 79,500 (30% margin). Three weeks later he receives a dividend cheque for $ 6,500, and prepays some of the interest on his margin loan. Based on a rate of 7.5% on $ 185,500, the interest bill for 12 months will be $ 13,912.50. Paying $ 6,500 before June 30 provides additional tax benefits for that financial year.

 

This is called deferment, it is not a 'saving' as some claim, but merely a way of nominating the year in which you make the claim. It may be better to claim the deduction in a year where there are higher capital gains than are expected for the following year.

 

Six months later, another $ 6,500 dividend is received, which is transferred towards the margin loan. By this stage, $ 13,000 has been paid, which is the majority of the interest amount. The margin lender will probably provide some incentive for prepayment. Another six months pass, and a $ 7,500 dividend cheque arrives (dividend growth over time is to be expected). By this time, CBA has risen to $ 30.00, and David decides to take the money and run.

 

Bought 10,000 CBA @ $ 26.50

Purchase Cost - $ 265,000

Margin Amount (30%) - $ 79,500

Borrowed Amount - $ 185,500

Interest Rate = 7.5%

Interest Cost - $ 13,912.50

Discount for Prepayment = $ 927 (0.5% discount)

Dividends Received = $ 6,500 + $ 6,500 + $ 7,500 = $ 20,500

Franking Credits received = $ 20,500 x 0.4285 = $ 8,784

Net cashflow

= dividends - interest + prepayment discount = $ 7,515

 

David sells 10,000 CBA @ $ 30.00 = $ 300,000

 

Capital Gain = sell price - purchase price - interest cost (interest is deductible)

= $ 300,000 - $ 265,000 - $ 13,912.50 = $ 21,087.50

Brokerage costs = 0.09% x $ 265,000 + 0.09% x $ 300,000

= $ 238.50 + $ 270

= $ 508.50

Gross profits = capital gain + dividends + franking credits

= $ 21,087.50 + $ 20,500 + $ 8,784

= $ 50,371.50

Cash on cash return = gross profit / total outlay

= $ 50,371.50 / ($ 79,500 + $ 508.50)

= 62.95%

 

This is a stunning return and highlights how positive gearing together with the benefits of franking credits and the 12-month capital gains tax rule can outperform most investments with ease. David did not have to sell, his investment is positively geared so he would be silly to.

 

This example is for demonstration purposes only and is not intended as a recommendation or advice.

 

SELF FUNDING INSTALMENT WARRANTS

These are the perfect tax effective investment for those with a marginal tax rate above 30%, and an alternative to negative geared strategies which are a fools way to save a dollar by losing two in the process.

 

Rather than receive cash dividends (which are assessable income) the dividend is used to pay back the loan. The franking credits (the tax paid part of the dividend paid by the company) cannot be used to reduce the loan and are given to the warrant (share) holder to use.

 

You could therefore greatly reduce your tax liability by simply changing the investment vehicle.

here is an example:

 

Jerry has a taxable income of $ 50,000 (including dividends). His tax liability is $ 11,172. It is near the end of the tax year. Jerry decides to do a quick trade to reduce his tax liability.

He currently owns 2,500 NAB ordinary shares.

 

He sells them for $ 28.00 each and buys 10,000 NABWSA (NAB self funding instalment warrant) @ $ 7.00 on May 18. NAB trades ex-dividend the following day. Jerry sells NABSWA for $ 7.00 since NAB fell the expected 83c dividend amount. The dividend is  paid on June 12 (still within the tax year), and used to reduce the loan instead of being paid to Jerry, The franking credit for each share is 35.6c. Since Jerry owns 10,000 of them, he receives 35.6c x 10,000 = $ 3,560 in franking credits.

 

Jerry's taxable income goes through two adjustments.

Firstly, he no longer receives dividends on his 2,500 shares. This means his income is reduced by 2,500 x 83c x 2 = $ 4,150. Franking credits also applied, being a further reduction of 2,500 x 35.6c x 2 = $ 1,778.

adjusted tax liability = $ 50,000 - $ 4,150 - $ 1,778 = $ 44,072

 

The second adjustment: His new taxable income increases since franking credits from the instalments are assessable income.  $ 3,560 + $ 44,072 = $ 47,632

This means his new tax liability is $ 4,112

but, he now has franking credits to use being $ 3,560.

his adjusted tax liability is now $ 4,112 - $ 3,560 = $ 552

original tax liability was $ 4,112

money saved = $ 3,560

Since he saved $ 3,560 overnight, his return was:

$ 3,560 / $ 70,000 = 5%

but annualised, the return was 1856%

 

Had Jerry decided to hold the warrants for longer, say a year, the financier would have received two dividends, and Jerry would have received twice as many franking credits. Recalculating the figures above, we get:

Franking credits received = 2 x 35.6c = 70.2c per share

total franking credits = 70.2c x 10,000 = $ 7,020

His new taxable income increases since the extra franking credits are assessable income.  $ 7,020 + $ 44,072 = $ 51,092

This means his new tax liability is $ 11,500

but, he now has franking credits to use being $ 7,020.

his adjusted tax liability is now $ 11,500 - $ 7,020 = $ 4,480

original tax liability was $ 11,172

money saved = $ 11,172 - $ 4,480 = $ 6,692

 

Since he saved $ 6,692 over 12 months, his annual return was:

$ 6,692 / $ 70,000 = 9.6%

 

Jerry saves more around $ 6,700 a year or receives an instant 9.6% boost to his investment simply by choosing a more tax effective investment vehicle.

 

For those with lower incomes, you may find that instead of paying tax you actually receive a refund, since franking credits are as good as cash from the taxman. It is not necessary to invest such a large amount either.

 

You could invest say $ 7,000 which may save you $ 600 a year. Or you could borrow some money, do a quick overnight trade like Jerry, then repay the loan with only one days interest.

 

SHARE BUYBACKS

On very rare occasions, a company will provide a special incentive to shareholders for handing back their shares. It usually occurs several years after the company is floated, and the company knows that there will be a lot of people afraid to sell, because the share price may have gone up which means capital gains tax.

To overcome this investor fear, the company will restructure the buyback so that capital gains tax is avoided. It often involves providing a share buyback at the original float price, and a fully franked dividend covering the remainder.

Example:

RYN Ltd floated 2 years ago at $ 2.00

Their share price is now $ 3.50

For a buyback, they offer a capital component of  $ 2.00 a share, plus a fully franked dividend of $ 1.50 per share. This means that shareholders from the float can avoid capital gains tax, plus get a heap of franking credits to use this year:

Buy price = $ 2.00

Sell price = $ 2.00

Capital Gains = $ 0

Dividends = $ 1.50

Franking Credits = $ 1.50 x 0.4285 = $ 0.64

Total gross dividends =  $ 2.14

Add capital component = $ 2.00

Total Payout =  $ 4.14

Not only do the shareholders receive an extra 16% premium for their shares, they avoid all capital gains as well. An added bonus using this method is that it appeals to the Australian shareholders more than overseas investors.

Foreigners cannot access franking credits so they will be less likely to take up the offer. The method rewards loyal Australian shareholders. However, if you are well organised and buy shares before the record date, then complete the necessary paperwork and wait the required period, you can get even more benefit because you can also claim a capital loss:

Buy price =  $ 3.50

Sell price =  $ 2.00

Capital loss = $ 1.50

Tax saving = $ 0.45*

Gross Dividends = $ 2.14

Capital component = $ 2.00

Total Effective Payout =  $ 4.59

 Recently Telstra made such a buyback offer, which was a great opportunity for existing and new investors. Since then however, the ATO has decided to crack down on the practice because of a fall in tax revenue, and in future such opportunities may not be so abundant, but nothing has been confirmed as yet.

*based on average taxpayer rate of 30%

 
Darren Tillnock

Almost 72 hours after doing the 3 Day Seminar, I wrote my first “covered call” on Mayne Nickless and took a premium of $4,800 cash for that month. That’s almost 5% return for the month on my money, or 60% over a year!!
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80% of our clients are male. But I'd wager that 80% of successful stock traders are women. Based on this experience I began to wonder why Women tend to be better investors than Men...
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