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Samples of the
Positive Cash Flow Share Course...
Below is a selection of samples from this amazing
Positive Cash Flow Share Course. There are over 45 such strategies in the course
plus you get 12 months of support from the Author.
If you have any interest in gaining a deeper
understanding of stock market strategies then I totally recommend this course.
Click here to return to the
Positive Cash Flow Share Course
Regards
Richard Baartz
Share Course Samples
1.
THE 19-SECOND RULE
2.
HOW
TO BUY SHARES AT 10% BELOW MARKET PRICE
3.
RECEIVING BONUS DIVIDENDS
4.
SELF FUNDING INSTALMENT WARRANTS
5.
SHARE BUYBACKS
THE
19-SECOND RULE
When looking at a stock and its dividends, there is a rule I have come up with
to determine if the stock should be bought for its dividend yield. For this you
need two pieces of information, the stock price, and the latest dividend payment
amount. This can be an amount recently paid, or yet to be paid. Take the
dividend amount, double it, double it again, and then multiply by ten. If the
stock price is below or equal to this number, that stock passes the test.
Example: NAB dividend 75c.
Double to $ 1.50
Double again to $ 3.00
Multiply by 10 = $ 30.00
Compare with stock price of $ 31.20 = FAIL
This is a quick rule and not the be-all and end-all of share selection. If you
have the actual dividend yield calculated for you, simply check if it is above
5%. If you have a calculator, multiply the dividend by 2, and divide by the
stock price, then multiply by 100 to give the dividend yield.
Divide by stock price of $ 27.90 = 0.0516
Multiply by 100 = 5.16%
Is this higher than 5%? = PASS
When investing for the longer term, where possible, use the two latest dividends
rather than doubling the most recent one, as this will be more accurate.
Example: TLS dividend 13c + 17c = 30c
Divide by stock price of $ 5.20 = 0.0577
Multiply by 100 = 5.77%
Is this higher than 5%? = PASS
In trades where you will only be holding the stock for it's
dividend and then selling, doubling that dividend is the best method because
future and past dividends are irrelevant. While 5% may not seem like a lot, this
does not include franking credits that improve the after tax return.
A fully franked dividend yielding 5% equates to a 7.14%
yield when franking credits are taken into account, and higher still if the
marginal tax rate of the investor is below 30%.
Applying the 19-second rule:
HOW TO BUY SHARES AT 10%
BELOW MARKET PRICE
In the first example above we were given a value of $ 30.00
for NAB. At this price, NAB will meet the 19-second rule. This means, if we want
to consider buying NAB as a positively geared investment, it must be at a price
of $ 30.00 or lower.
You might ask: "but what if it never gets that low?" I am
about to show you how you can make money from NAB whether it falls to $ 30.00 or
not.
The first step is to 'sign a contract' that we will buy NAB
at $ 30.00 if it gets there. For this, we will be paid on average 40c a share
every month (price estimated and irregular) until NAB hits $ 30.00, or until NAB
rises far above $ 30.00.
We do this buy 'writing' a put option. We make an agreement
with another party, that we will buy their NAB shares off them for $ 30.00 if
NAB falls below this price, and IF they decide to exercise their option. In
practice they will not exercise their option unless there is a financial
incentive for doing so.
This means that we usually will not have to buy the shares
until the expiry date. The party that buys this contract from us, does so
because they wish to profit from NAB falling in price, should it happen. They
may be speculating, or hedging their shares against the risk of a sharp fall.
Lets pretend it is January 3rd, and NAB is trading at $
31.50. We have used the 19-second rule, and wish to buy 10,000 NAB at $ 30.00.
We are prepared to wait as long as is necessary. We determine that we need to
write a January $ 30.00 put, and manage to sell 10 contracts for 19c each. We
receive 19 x 10 x 1000 = $ 1,900 in premiums. January expiry day comes and goes,
just as NAB hits $ 30.50.
Having kept all of the $ 1,900, we write some February
contracts for 34c. We receive 34 x 10 x 1000 = $ 3,400 in premiums. Expiry day
comes around, and NAB is trading at $ 30.12. The puts expire worthless. Having
kept all of the $ 3,400, we write some March contracts for 62c. We receive 62 x
10 x 1000 = $ 6,200 in premiums. Expiry day comes around, and NAB is trading at
$ 29.88.
The put buyer exercises his options, and we buy 10,000 NAB
@ $ 30.00.
Our purchase looks as follows:
Jan - received $ 1,900 - balance = $ 1,900
Feb - received $ 3,400 - balance = $ 5,300
Mar - received $ 6,200 - balance = $ 11,500
Mar - bought 10,000 NAB @ $ 30.00 = ($ 300,000) - Balance = ($ 288,500)
Our average buy price for NAB is $ 288,500 / 10,000 = $ 28.85.
Note that this is even less than the price we were prepared
to pay, and is still less than the current market value of $ 29.88.
We have in effect, bought NAB at a great discount:
Original price - $ 31.50
Effective buy price - $ 28.85
Discount = 8.4%
Furthermore, we have made a profit because NAB is trading above our effective
buy price:
Current price - $ 29.88
Effective buy price - $ 28.85
Profit = 103c / share x 10,000 shares = $ 10,300 or 3.6%
gain
Had we bought at $ 31.50, we would now be down 8.4%.
Instead, we are in profit by 3.6%. Our total performance is therefore improved
by 8.4% + 3.6% = 12%. We have in effect bought NAB at 12% below market price. If
we choose to sell at $ 29.88 we also take a capital loss on paper, as we paid $
30.00 and sold for $ 29.88. Had it taken longer to reach $ 30.00, we would have
been able to write puts for later months, which would have reduced our effective
buy price even lower.
You can think of this strategy as a 'lay-by' for shares,
where you also get to buy the item on special at any time during the lay-by
period. We did not own the shares for 3 months of the year, so it is possible we
missed out on a dividend. In effect we missed out on half of a dividend, because
they are paid every 6 months.
It was not necessary for NAB to fall. Had it drifted
sideways for 6 months, a similar result would have been obtained. Whether or not
NAB reaches $ 30.00 is irrelevant because we have already banked the income from
the put options. This strategy should be used when the investor wishes to
purchase actual shares. You can use the strategy with no intention to actually
buy shares, but be warned if you are exercised you must buy the shares and sell
them again, which may cost big money in brokerage.
It is not a risk-free strategy, as a large fall in the
stock to say $ 30.00 would still leave the investor in a position where they
must pay $ 30.00 per share. It is however less risky than buying the shares
outright as a normal investor would do, because our risk starts at the $ 30.00
level, not the $ 31.50 level, and as I have shown it is a more economical
option.
Note: Writing options requires a margin to be met.
The example is for demonstration purposes only and
is not intended as a recommendation or advice.
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RECEIVING BONUS DIVIDENDS
With a
rental property, assuming no vacancies and a fortnightly rent income, there is a
very consistent, even, predictable flow of income. Buyers of property will not
be concerned with when the rent is due next, because at worst they will miss out
on 13 days income, which is a fairly small amount in comparison to the purchase
cost of the property.
With shares however, income is distributed much less frequently, less evenly,
and less predictably. While this may sound like a negative, once you are aware
of this inefficiency, you can exploit it. When an investor buys a share, the
difference in effective purchase cost is influenced to a much greater degree
when dividends are taken into account.
Example:
Investor A buys a .00 share which paid out a 50c dividend the day before he
bought.
Investor B buys a .00 share that pays out a 50c dividend the day he bought.
Investor A has to wait another 6 months before he receives any income from his
investment, and again in a further 6 months. This means that over a 365-day
period, he receives 2 dividend payments. The average investor would expect this,
and would not consider that there is a better option.
Investor B gets a return on his investment after only one day, plus he receives
another payment in 6 months time, and again in a further 6 months. This means
that over a 366 day period, he receives not two but three dividend payments. His
effective purchase price is .29 (.00 less 50c dividend and 21c franking credit)
Investor A invests for 365 days and receives two dividends, or $1.00 per share.
His net dividend yield is 100/3000 = 3.33%
Investor B invests for 366 days and receives three dividends, or $1.50 per
share. His net dividend yield is 150/3000 = 5%
Investor B invests for 0.27% longer (366 days Vs 365), but his dividend yield is
a 50% increase on that of Investor A (5% Vs 3.33%).
Had both investors bought instalment warrants instead of shares, they may have
found that the returns were 10% for Investor A and 15% for Investor B, quite
possibly the difference between a positive geared scenario and a negative geared
one.
To put this in rental property terms, Investor A bought a house expecting and
receiving the normal fortnightly rent, while Investor B bought a house which
included six months rent in arrears. Naturally this would never happen with
property, but it happens frequently with shares. The timing of a share purchase
can make a big difference to the return produced and the effective purchase
price. Be sure to allow for dividends when you consider investing in equities.
Worked Example:
This
strategy involves buying stock or instalment warrants shortly before a dividend
is paid, and holding it for just over 12 months. Over this period three
dividends will be received, and any capital gains after 12 months will be
taxable at half the normal rate. This means that a dividend with a yield of 5%
can be purchased on margin and made to produce 7.5%, in effect creating a
positively geared investment.
CBA
pays a 65c dividend on the 10th of May. On the 9th of May,
CBA is trading at $ 26.50. David buys 10,000 CBA shares on margin, costing him $
79,500 (30% margin). Three weeks later he receives a dividend cheque for $
6,500, and prepays some of the interest on his margin loan. Based on a rate of
7.5% on $ 185,500, the interest bill for 12 months will be $ 13,912.50. Paying $
6,500 before June 30 provides additional tax benefits for that financial year.
This
is called deferment, it is not a 'saving' as some claim, but merely a way of
nominating the year in which you make the claim. It may be better to claim the
deduction in a year where there are higher capital gains than are expected for
the following year.
Six
months later, another $ 6,500 dividend is received, which is transferred towards
the margin loan. By this stage, $ 13,000 has been paid, which is the majority of
the interest amount. The margin lender will probably provide some incentive for
prepayment. Another six months pass, and a $ 7,500 dividend cheque arrives
(dividend growth over time is to be expected). By this time, CBA has risen to $
30.00, and David decides to take the money and run.
Bought
10,000 CBA @ $ 26.50
Purchase Cost - $ 265,000
Margin
Amount (30%) - $ 79,500
Borrowed Amount - $ 185,500
Interest Rate = 7.5%
Interest Cost - $ 13,912.50
Discount for Prepayment = $ 927 (0.5% discount)
Dividends Received = $ 6,500 + $ 6,500 + $ 7,500 = $ 20,500
Franking Credits received = $ 20,500 x 0.4285 = $ 8,784
Net
cashflow
=
dividends - interest + prepayment discount = $ 7,515
David
sells 10,000 CBA @ $ 30.00 = $ 300,000
Capital Gain = sell price - purchase price - interest cost (interest is
deductible)
= $
300,000 - $ 265,000 - $ 13,912.50 = $ 21,087.50
Brokerage costs = 0.09% x $ 265,000 + 0.09% x $ 300,000
= $
238.50 + $ 270
= $ 508.50
Gross
profits = capital gain + dividends + franking credits
= $
21,087.50 + $ 20,500 + $ 8,784
= $
50,371.50
Cash
on cash return = gross profit / total outlay
= $
50,371.50 / ($ 79,500 + $ 508.50)
=
62.95%
This
is a stunning return and highlights how positive gearing together with the
benefits of franking credits and the 12-month capital gains tax rule can
outperform most investments with ease. David did not have to sell, his
investment is positively geared so he would be silly to.
This
example is for demonstration purposes only and is not intended as a
recommendation or advice.
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SELF FUNDING INSTALMENT WARRANTS
These are the perfect tax effective investment for
those with a marginal tax rate above 30%, and an alternative to negative geared
strategies which are a fools way to save a dollar by losing two in the process.
Rather than receive cash dividends (which are
assessable income) the dividend is used to pay back the loan. The franking
credits (the tax paid part of the dividend paid by the company) cannot be used
to reduce the loan and are given to the warrant (share) holder to use.
You could therefore greatly reduce your tax
liability by simply changing the investment vehicle.
here is an example:
Jerry has a taxable income of $ 50,000 (including
dividends). His tax liability is $ 11,172. It is near the end of the tax year.
Jerry decides to do a quick trade to reduce his tax liability.
He currently owns 2,500 NAB ordinary shares.
He sells them for $ 28.00 each and buys 10,000
NABWSA (NAB self funding instalment warrant) @ $ 7.00 on May 18. NAB trades
ex-dividend the following day. Jerry sells NABSWA for $ 7.00 since NAB fell the
expected 83c dividend amount. The dividend is paid on June 12 (still within the
tax year), and used to reduce the loan instead of being paid to Jerry, The
franking credit for each share is 35.6c. Since Jerry owns 10,000 of them, he
receives 35.6c x 10,000 = $ 3,560 in franking credits.
Jerry's taxable income goes through two
adjustments.
Firstly, he no longer receives dividends on his
2,500 shares. This means his income is reduced by 2,500 x 83c x 2 = $ 4,150.
Franking credits also applied, being a further reduction of 2,500 x 35.6c x 2 =
$ 1,778.
adjusted tax liability = $ 50,000 - $ 4,150 - $
1,778 = $ 44,072
The second adjustment: His new taxable income
increases since franking credits from the instalments are assessable income. $
3,560 + $ 44,072 = $ 47,632
This means his new tax liability is $ 4,112
but, he now has franking credits to use being $
3,560.
his adjusted tax liability is now $ 4,112 - $
3,560 = $ 552
original tax liability was $ 4,112
money saved = $ 3,560
Since he saved $ 3,560 overnight, his return was:
$ 3,560 / $ 70,000 = 5%
but annualised, the return was 1856%
Had Jerry decided to hold the warrants for longer,
say a year, the financier would have received two dividends, and Jerry would
have received twice as many franking credits. Recalculating the figures above,
we get:
Franking credits received = 2 x 35.6c = 70.2c per
share
total franking credits = 70.2c x 10,000 = $ 7,020
His new taxable income increases since the extra
franking credits are assessable income. $ 7,020 + $ 44,072 = $ 51,092
This means his new tax liability is $ 11,500
but, he now has franking credits to use being $
7,020.
his adjusted tax liability is now $ 11,500 - $
7,020 = $ 4,480
original tax liability was $ 11,172
money saved = $ 11,172 - $ 4,480 = $ 6,692
Since he saved $ 6,692 over 12 months, his annual
return was:
$ 6,692 / $ 70,000 = 9.6%
Jerry saves more around $ 6,700 a year or receives
an instant 9.6% boost to his investment simply by choosing a more tax effective
investment vehicle.
For those with lower incomes, you may find that
instead of paying tax you actually receive a refund, since franking credits are
as good as cash from the taxman. It is not necessary to invest such a large
amount either.
You could invest say $ 7,000 which may save you $
600 a year. Or you could borrow some money, do a quick overnight trade like
Jerry, then repay the loan with only one days interest.
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SHARE BUYBACKS
On very rare occasions, a
company will provide a special incentive to shareholders for handing back their
shares. It usually occurs several years after the company is floated, and the
company knows that there will be a lot of people afraid to sell, because the
share price may have gone up which means capital gains tax.
To overcome this investor
fear, the company will restructure the buyback so that capital gains tax is
avoided. It often involves providing a share buyback at the original float
price, and a fully franked dividend covering the remainder.
Example:
RYN Ltd floated 2 years
ago at $ 2.00
Their share price is now
$ 3.50
For a buyback, they offer
a capital component of $ 2.00 a share, plus a fully franked dividend of $ 1.50
per share. This means that shareholders from the float can avoid capital gains
tax, plus get a heap of franking credits to use this year:
Buy price = $ 2.00
Sell price = $ 2.00
Capital Gains = $ 0
Dividends = $ 1.50
Franking Credits = $ 1.50
x 0.4285 = $ 0.64
Total gross dividends =
$ 2.14
Add capital component = $
2.00
Total Payout = $ 4.14
Not only do the
shareholders receive an extra 16% premium for their shares, they avoid all
capital gains as well. An added bonus using this method is that it appeals to
the Australian shareholders more than overseas investors.
Foreigners cannot access
franking credits so they will be less likely to take up the offer. The method
rewards loyal Australian shareholders. However, if you are well organised and
buy shares before the record date, then complete the necessary paperwork and
wait the required period, you can get even more benefit because you can also
claim a capital loss:
Buy price = $ 3.50
Sell price = $ 2.00
Capital loss = $ 1.50
Tax saving = $ 0.45*
Gross Dividends = $ 2.14
Capital component = $
2.00
Total Effective Payout =
$ 4.59
Recently Telstra made
such a buyback offer, which was a great opportunity for existing and new
investors. Since then however, the ATO has decided to crack down on the practice
because of a fall in tax revenue, and in future such opportunities may not be so
abundant, but nothing has been confirmed as yet.
*based on average
taxpayer rate of 30% |
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Darren Tillnock
Almost 72 hours after doing
the 3 Day Seminar, I wrote my first “covered call” on
Mayne Nickless and took a premium of $4,800 cash for that
month. That’s almost 5% return for the month on my money,
or 60% over a year!! |
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A
personal message to you... |
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80% of our clients are male. But I'd wager that 80% of
successful stock traders are women. Based on this
experience I began to wonder why Women tend to be better
investors than Men... |
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